As the easy come popularity of Presidential-Candidate-to-the-Stars Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III spirals into showbiz oblivion — whoops, easy go — it might be worth taking away some lessons learned before we do a final write-off on Noynoy’s brief venture into Camelot.
Queen of Jolog Central Ellen Tordesillas who is normally the quickest to trumpet this-or-that survey result is now a bit sober in her “analysis” of these fine demonstrations of the scientific method:
Ang tanong naman ng marami, bakit bumababa si Noynoy?
Sabi ni Mon Casiple ng Institute for Political and Electoral Reform, maliban sa napakarami ng TV ads ni Villar, magaganda pa at naka-focus. Ang puso raw ay sa mahirap. Kung totoo man yun o hindi, mukhang may naniniwala.
Ang kay Noynoy naman, sabi ni Casiple, walang focus ang mensahe ng kanyang mga TV ads. Maliban sa kanyang mga marangal na magulang at hindi siya magnanakaw, hindi sinasabi kung ano ang konkretong programa.
Inamin naman ni Noynoy na marami pang pagkukulang ang kanyang organisasyon at nangako siyang aayusin.
Unfortunately for those who don’t read Tagalog (trust me, you ain’t missin’ much), I have a very brief translation of the above:
Noynoy Aquino failed to read the situation and dropped the ball. An astute businessman, Manny Villar, grabbed it and ran with it. The latter was pretty much in his entrepeneurial element — he siezed market share in the emerging market of thinking voters.
Short and sweet, folks. There really isn’t much to be analysed other than to ask the obvious question now:
Would you entrust the Philippine Government to some bozo who cannot even run a sharp campaign?
To be fair to Noynoy, I think it is really the people that surround him — wankers, drama junkies, hopeless romantics, and sentimentality-imprisoned losers — that really did him in and ran his campaign aground.
For one thing, there are a lot of leaders out there whose main contribution to his party is almost purely charisma and engagement with his constituency. But the good ones recognise this strength and compensates for whatever shortcoming they may have with the actual technical details of leading a government — or a campaign — by surrounding himself with SMART people who provide him technical support and advise.
Noynoy Aquino squandered his popularity by surrounding himself with morons who jumped on the popularity and pedigree bandwagon but contributed NOTHING in the way of boosting his credibility to people who apply a bit more of a technical brain. And if we see the smartening up of The Filipino Voter as evidence of hope for a better Philippines, then we should see the fall of Noynoy Aquino as evidence that such a long-shot aspiration is coming to fruition.
As Obi Wan Kenobi say to the bewildered Luke Skywalker in the excellent film Star Wars as they clambered out of the cargo hold of the Millenium Falcon…
Who is the bigger fool? The fool or the fools who follow him?
… or something to that effect.
It is definitely going to be a tough time ahead for both. Manny villar will have to do more to maintain his momentum while Noynoy Aquino will have to fight tooth and nail to preserve or even expand his lead. The fight will become more interesting as both go into the formal campaign period.
Well let me ask everyone this:
Between a man who made his fortune by his own sweat and resourcefulness (whatever way we choose to “moralise” around how he went about it) and a man who simply sailed into the lap of pedigree and inherited popularity (only to squander it later), which one do you think will step up to embrace said “tough time”?